![]() It is always wise in any gambling format to think objectively for that specific week. The more people that are participating, the more likely people will attack money picks with a lot of confidence. The strategy for a 30-team confidence pool compared to 150 teams will be much different. This is when your IQ for your league and understanding what others are picking on a weekly basis comes into play. If your confidence pool is smaller, you probably don’t need to make as many upset picks. Picking Cleveland can be a very advantageous strategy in gaining ground or separating yourself in a confidence pool.īe situational in the picks you make weekly. As an example, Pittsburgh is playing Cleveland, Pittsburgh is being picked by users at 92%, with their probability to win at only 66%, so this is a very good ratio to pick an upset or money pick on Cleveland. Do your research during the week, examine which matchups the general public have been leaning towards or shying away from. When choosing money picks, again we can refer to the chart above. If you need to make up ground in the final few weeks, then it is wise to put a lot of confidence in picks that are being chosen at a less then 20% clip. As the season progresses, the amount of money picks you will be forced to choose will be totally dependent on your standing in the league. There’s no hiding the fact that if you have done a confidence pool before, the people who continually win, and take your charity donation to the league, have an uncanny ability to pick upsets or as we like to refer to them ‘money picks’. Sure, you will be near the top of your league, but this will not separate you from the rest of the pack. Picking the base picks will only get you so far in a confidence pool. In the chart above, New Orleans is in the top left users picked New Orleans at a rate of 98% to win over Tampa Bay (2%), which, according to the stats, is the most lopsided matchup of the week. It would be wise to organize these picks from largest spread or highest picked percent to lowest. Organize your base picks, meaning the teams that are supposed to win based on odds or spreads on the left side of your column, the underdogs or money picks on the right side. The first strategy when trying to plan each week and matchup is to be organized and properly format your picks (have a system that works for you). ![]() ![]() ![]() Naturally, each game being played will have a favorite and an underdog. Points are rewarded based on the confidence you give each matchup, 16 obviously being the highest amount of points you can receive from a win and 1 being the least. Putting 16 beside a matchup means that is your most confident selection, and putting 1 beside a potential winner means it is a game that you have the least confidence in. Your task is to pick a heads-up winner in each matchup (the spread does not matter) and rank each matchup from 1-16. Let’s say, there are 16 games being played on week 1 of the NFL season. The format of how a confidence pool works is very simple. The objective of this article is to learn how a weekly confidence pool works and to build a strategy for how you can beat friends, colleagues and whatever competition may stand in your way from taking home money or bragging rights for the 2021-22 season. Another NFL season is upon us, and that means many people will be a part of pools, leagues and much more.
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